The 3 Trends of the Current World (II)
Written by Alfonso Elizondo
Europe is facing a crucial year in which the very idea of the role of the European Union is being questioned. Its main issues are: the increase in political crises due to the blocking statute, progress in the investigation of the Russian plot and the proximity of the presidential elections, the trade war with China and the Democrats’ search for candidates for the 2020 presidential elections.
The near Middle East will continue to be one of the most explosive and violent regions in the world, so it is important to follow basic problems there such as the relationship between Iran and Saudi Arabia, the confirmation of Al Assad as the winner in Syria, where the fight between Israel and Iran and between Turkey and the United States will continue.
There is also the risk of further imbalance due to anti-government protests in Italy, Jordan and Iraq, the elections in Algeria and the ever-worsening situation in Palestine. So the Middle East will be one of the most violent regions in the world in 2019.
Other events to be followed closely: the relationship between Iran and Saudi Arabia, the confirmation of Al Assad as a winner in Syria and possible clashes between Israel and Iran and between Turkey and the United States.
But there isn’t the slightest doubt that the most strife-ridden region in the world today is the Asia-Pacific region where there is a clear clash between the main interests of China and the United States, although there are other regional actors such as India, Japan, Australia and the Philippines.
In another remote region of the world there is Africa, whose population, economy and geopolitical weight are increasing daily. There are also peace agreements between Ethiopia and Eritrea, while terrorism and conflict continue in Babel, Somalia and the Central African Republic.
Addendum: There is no doubt that the current world is going through a new phase where the three conflicts I’ve indicated in this article are those that will dominate the world in the next few years.